Depends of which kind of neutrality we speaking. If more Central Powers leaning, means no loans to Entente, than a Central Victory is possible.
Depends of which kind of neutrality we speaking. If more Central Powers leaning, means no loans to Entente, than a Central Victory is possible.
CP have the edge unless US prepared to make loans without security, which OTL she consistently refused as long as she remained neutral.
For the US to stay neutral requires also that they not favor the entente so much.
the us govt might decide earlier to warn banks against loans to britain etc because they are not safe.
For the US to stay neutral requires also that they not favor the entente so much.
Years ago a friend of my dad mentioned it might have been better if Germany had won. It was its humiliating defeat and the reparations the Allies demanded that led to the rise of Nazism, just as our carpetbagger rule of ths South led to the rise of the Ku Klux Klan after the Civil War.
Except that what really happened was that the old ruling class was given back power for a few years, then congress tried to ensure something resemblin human rights for former slaves and racist thugs prevened the application fo the US constitution for nearly a hundred years
So, when American funding dries up, what are the chances of socialist revolution in France?
Even less so than in Germany, I guess. France is much more rural overall. While socialists could certainly take over Paris, I doubt that they'll get the whole country. So civil war with foreign intervention/support is likely.
The victors' mistake in 1919 wasn't being unfair to Germany, but requiring too much of their own people. They imposed a Treaty over which they would need to stand indefinite watch, like some kind of international cops. In a world where every Cabinet Minister was literally or metaphorically "a survivor of the Somme" that was never going to work.
Even less so than in Germany, I guess. France is much more rural overall. While socialists could certainly take over Paris, I doubt that they'll get the whole country. So civil war with foreign intervention/support is likely.
The same (to get at least slightly back on topic) applies to peace treaties. The victors' mistake in 1919 wasn't being unfair to Germany, but requiring too much of their own people. They imposed a Treaty over which they would need to stand indefinite watch, like some kind of international cops. In a world where every Cabinet Minister was literally or metaphorically "a survivor of the Somme" that was never going to work.