The Long, Cold Winter
-A History of the Second World War"Whenever an historian discusses the Second World War it is inevitable that the word “Overestimate” appears. Nazi Germany overestimated how apathetic France and the United Kingdom would be over the invasion of Poland, the Soviet Union overestimated their own military prowess in the invasion of Finland, and the Allies overestimated the Soviet fear of a war with the West."
On November 30, 1939, the Soviet Union invades Finland. Even though the United Kingdom and France were at war with Germany, it was a quiet war, the Sitzkreig. All attention went to the Northern action, and the massive Soviet attack. Popular opinion was completely against the Soviets, and the Allied governments were scheming to find a way to turn it to their advantage.
- Rickard Sandler, Foreign Minister 1936-1942“What is important to understand is that we viewed this as a preemptive action. Hardly even preemptive, really, more a reaction against the USSR and Germany. We had seen how these two countries collaborated to divide Poland in September of 1939, and we saw the invasion of Finland as the beginning of a partition of all of Scandinavia. I quietly met with representatives from Denmark, Norway, and Finland to create a plan of action. Denmark refused, of course, but we started integrating a northern defense plan. Estonia also approached us, offering intelligence information. The multinational effort was groundbreaking for its secrecy. When, on December 27th, we received the letter from the United Kingdom we already knew what our response would be.”
On January 1, 1940, the United Kingdom started sending its expeditionary force to Norway and Sweden. The first priority was to prevent further shipment of iron ore to Germany, which the Swedish government readily agreed to. Most of the soldiers would move down to the Gothenburg-Stockholm line (Lake Line) and begin fortifying. Originally it was thought among the British that the Soviet Union would withdraw from Finland rather than face a potential war with the United Kingdom and France, and thus sending troops to Finland was seen as a lower priority (Though needed weapons and supplies were sent to the Finnish Front).
Germany immediately activated Operation Weserübung, but it was immediately seen to be inadequate. The plan called for a single division to carry out the action, and in the face of the large task, it was immediately recognized as impossible to accomplish. A new plan was organized and an invasion date was set in early February.
-Nikita Khrushchev“The British never understood the Russian mentality. Stalin’s Russia wanted to expand, yes, but the main goal was always to create a buffer in order to protect themselves from the interests of other powers. To accept the British Ultimatum, to withdraw from Finland, to surrender out of fear of a Western power was antithetical to the purpose of the operation. If they had realized this, if they had known the fear and stubbornness in Stalin, perhaps the Second World War would have been little more than a small Franco-Prussian conflict.”