Italy in this situation if don't do that, will remain alone in facing France and A-H in case of German defeat...not a scenario that anybody in Rome will be keen to live through, regardless of political inclination...so yes Italy will honor the alliance, expecially with the build up of the french rearmament and the increased tension with Wien.
Said that, while Italy is in a better position regarding equipment than OTL, it still will be a very hard effort due to the terrain in both front
The front towards Austria is, realistically, the only real option for Italy, considering how difficult the terrain around Nice is.
Which of course suits the Germans just fine.
Just keep everyone's favorite Luigi Cadorna far far away from northeast Italy and there's no way they'll be worse than they were OTL.
it's 1919, the idea that without a war Cadorna has not been dismissed by the role of chief of staff due to the is basically ASB...yep the man was that abrasive and had that level of political incapacity plus he and Giolitti really and i mean really hated each other.
Not considering that without the war in Libya he will probably not get the job as it was the only real candidate not touched by the failures of the campaign due to him not partecipating at that idiocy
I believe I already maneuvered Alberto Diaz into place for Italy as it is, though I'd have to go back and check.
Lord.

If they have any sense at all they’re going to use the Italians to fix as much of the Austrian Army as possible while the Germans go on a merry adventure to overrun Prague and Linz, eventually crippling Austrian logistics so much that the Italians are able to move on Innsbruck without casualties akin to OTL’s Italian offensives.

Once they link up they can move the Italian armies around by rail to prosecute the offensive against the Austrians and free German forces to move to the Western Front, or move Italian forces directly to the west.

They won’t have that much sense, but perhaps more than IOTL?
This is likely what will happen, though less thanks to foresight and more simply due to the contours of the campaign more or less working out that way gradually.

But the Brenner here is a huge, huge strategic asset in a way it was not IOTL's WW1 for the reasons you describe, and only the open question of Italian reliability has influenced its oversight in Fall Ost.
If I’m a French junior staffer I’m trying to figure out how to secretly send the bulk of our army to Denmark.
Lol not bad
I'm honestly surprised that the Orange order hasn't tried to have Catholicism banned in Canada (not that it would work mind you)
Britain would have thrown a hissy fit and probably intervened to some extent in such a case; the British Empire was very imperfect (understatement) but by the early 20th century the tradition of religious tolerance by the government as a point of policy was fairly unassailable, and French Canadians in particular have given London no reason to think they are not loyal citizens (indeed, they proved as much in 1812 and the Patriotiste revolt in 1837).
 
Alas, to the Old Lodge, Doherty had to go, because he was a Catholic, and to them Catholics - regardless of tongue or ethnic origin - were part of a greater mob that threatened world Englishness and had infected, like a virus, even the liberal and once-Anglophone Protestant United States.
"I never thought leopards would eat MY face" sobs man who voted for the Leopards Eating People's Faces Party.
 
[1] In my head canon, Canadians are thus much more serious "aboot" trying to maintain a more distinctive accent from Americans and other various Anglophilic tics to make themselves distinctive. (I couldn't throw an "eh" in there anywhere, "so-aw-rry").
The south already has a distinctive accent, but I'm curious, would this kind of thinking be a reason for spelling/language reform there as well? Formalizing and incorporating pronunciation would really drive home that separation from the Yankees.
 
A Freedom Bought With Blood: Emancipation and the Postwar Confederacy
"...remarkable report - of the United States Army escorting Arkansas state legislators, some of them with their hands bound, into the intact half of the State Capitol in Little Rock, its construction interrupted by the war and suffering substantial though not irreparable damage during the fall of the city two years earlier. The Speaker of the Arkansas House, the handsome Lee Cazort - only thirty years old - hobbled into the well of the House with the assistance of a cane due to his prosthetic foot, a memento courtesy of an artillery shell at Nashville, though most of his classmates from Hendrix and the University of Arkansas had not been so lucky. Behind him hung the flag of Arkansas, only designed a few years earlier, a Confederate flag, and between the two and conspicuously larger, the Star-Spangled Banner of the United States; as if the point was too subtle, on either side of him stood Yankee soldiers, their rifles slung over their soldiers, one of them chewing gum and the other with a cigarette dangling between his lips. Throughout the Arkansas House Chambers stood about a hundred other soldiers, half as many as the legislators gathered for the extraordinary joint session to vote through the Third Amendment of the Confederate Constitution. That the Army was literally occupying the partially-destroyed Capitol, and staring at legislators - some marched from prison to take the vote - with guns in their hands, the result of the vote was clear even before it was tallied, in a similar scene to the Treaty of Mount Vernon and near-identical to a set of events already played out across other states of the South.

With Arkansas' vote, gaveled through "with a heavy heart" by Cazort, the Third Amendment was formally ratified on August 28th, 1918, nearly five years to the day from when the Confederacy elected to go to war and launched the surprise attack across the Potomac and Chesapeake at the Yankees. "Consider it, if you will, the mark of your atonement, and the price of your forgiveness," went the apocryphal quote attributed to a Yankee major in Little Rock shortly thereafter.

The passage of the Third Amendment was met with a surprisingly muted reaction. The vast majority of the millions of freedmen across Dixie had, effectively, already been emancipated by force at least two years earlier, longer for a great many concentrated in western Kentucky, and this was essentially just the final step in a process that had begun long ago. No white man worth his salt was going to celebrate the formal, legal end of the peculiar institution, either, even those who had believed it was evil. And for the Yankee soldiers and government, it was potentially just the first step in a coming road to limit and wind down occupation activities, with the maintenance of such an aggressive occupation outside of crucial cities already becoming a major issue that neither party was willing to fully commit to long term.

The end of slavery in the country that had committed itself to defending it to the death and made it a core of their very being thus came with a whimper; August 28th came and went like any other day, the institution ushered out not because its purveyors confronted the wickedness of their ways, but because they were forced to as punishment for a war they had begun. The free Negroes of the Delta, or those who now had formed communities on the plantations they had once worked, never made it a day of remembrance; the whites were too resentful at the whole of the Gunbarrel Amendments and their defeat to pinpoint that day as a day to grieve.

Only for one person did August 28th, 1918 come as a moment of some import - George S. Patton, the President of the Confederacy, who had promised skeptical legislatures full of opponents to the Amendment that he would fall on his sword for them, and swallow his pride and resign as a gesture of good faith if they would swallow their pride and pass the Amendment to get the Yankees to relent and begin plotting their exit. His many defenders in later decades would note that Patton should not have had to resign; Dixie had not just lost a war, they had been obliterated economically, physically and demographically, and the gaping wound that the war left on the collective cultural and civilizational psyche could have healed faster had Dixie not picked at the scar every time it started to scab over. Patton tried to get the best deal he could, not out of the kindness of his heart towards the Negro but because he understood that his people were defeated and he was left trying to do the best he could.

Accordingly, Patton became the second consecutive Confederate President to resign the office, signing simply, "I hereby resign my office as President of these Confederate States" and the resignation went into effect on noon, September 1st. With no formal process in place, he hand-delivered three copies of it, one to Martin, and one each to the Secretary of State and Attorney General; with that act, he ceased to be President and Commander-in-Chief. His Presidency had been a short one, a little under twenty-one months, but it was perhaps one of the most impactful in Confederate history; his name would be damned for decades until the revisionist Reconciliation of the post-Carter Protocol 1990s, when both white and Negro scholars began to reassess the damning choices he had before him and had to make.

Patton was escorted to the train depot in north Charlotte by an honor guard of Confederate soldiers and Martin himself, and with two bodyguards hired on his dime in tow he departed on the 12:17 to Richmond, where he would briefly stay at his old townhome for a few weeks before an attempted break-in persuaded him that some embittered veteran was trying to assassinate him, and on October 20th he left his affairs in the hands of a solicitor friend and boarded a ship to England. His considerable assets in Dixie were over the next several years liquidated, for he never once returned across the Atlantic; he established himself at a small home he purchased in the countryside of Essex, near Colchester, where he would write a brief and succinct memoir before he died in the winter of 1925, aged 69, in relative obscurity. With his wife and son both already dead, and his daughter estranged due to his self-imposed exile, there was nobody to speak for him or attempt to bring him home; Patton remains buried in a small Anglican cemetery in Colchester to this day, the only Confederate or American President interred outside of North America.

Martin, for his part, returned to Executive House once Patton was gone, and was sworn in on his personal Bible by John Pettigrew Sullivan, a close friend and state judge in North Carolina. With that act, he became the 14th President of the Confederate States, and the fourth man to hold the office in the space of as many years as well as the oldest to serve in that office at the age of seventy-one years...."

- A Freedom Bought With Blood: Emancipation and the Postwar Confederacy
 
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Accordingly, Patton became the first Confederate President to resign the office, signing simply, "I hereby resign my office as President of these Confederate States" and the resignation went into effect on noon, September 1st.
Vardaman also resigned. Sure, he signed his resignation letter ten minutes before he got shot but still, it counts.
 
Bengal Tiger: Subhas Chandra Bose and India
"...for a young revolutionary like Bose, the post-Mutiny India was a time of tremendous opportunity and upheaval, which did not always redound to the benefit of Congress.

The Mutiny may have been dead, but well into the mid-1920s, the efforts of a more strident and unforgiving brand of Indian nationalism continued their pushback against the sporadic and haphazard imposition of martial law sector by sector undertaken by Kitchener until his return to Britain in early 1919. The Jugantar and Samiti could continue carrying out the work of the Ghadarites from the shadows, now emboldened by the brief hour of success in February 1915 and the numerous connections abroad they had made. What became known as the "Struggle" ensued, a campaign not just of shootings or stabbings but bombings, including of rail infrastructure (often in protest of temporary movement restrictions placed on Indians by the Indian Army and its military governors), boats in harbor destroyed by naked men swimming out to them in the dark of night, and occasionally goverment offices. The state of emergency was lifted in July 1918 not because the emergency was over, because it clearly was not, but because the India Office believed with good reason that it was a greater political liability than the sabotage and assassination campaign that seemed to be accelerating.

Bose remarked in a letter to a comrade, "There is perhaps no country on earth that has less a shortage of pistols and bombs today than India." This was not entirely true, but that untruth spoke to why it was available in such ample amounts to the Jugantar. The end of the Great American War had brought with it probably the largest surplus of arms in history, a downstream effect of American overproduction even as the war drew to a close. Rifles, pistols, bullets, and bombs were thus extremely cheap and in considerable supply, locked up in poorly-guarded armories and thus easily obtainable for those who were enterprising enough to pay off armory guards. Not far from Berkeley - that hotbed of revolutionary Ghadarite opinion, thanks in part to the United States refusing to deport Taraknath Das and his coterie of comrades - sat the Alameda Army Depot, the largest weapons cache of the United States Army on the West Coast, situated at the Oakland, California docks so that weapons could easily be distributed out, and spare parts shipped by sea or rail could easily be brought in, if needed. It was the logistical hub associated with the major army command at the Presidio just across the harbor, and it was notoriously easy to buy weapons on the side from; one guard in particular, a William Kenton O'Doyle, is thought to have become a millionaire - in 1918-19 dollars - purely from selling off "surplus" under the table to rumrunners, Chinese gangsters, and of course what constituted the remainder of Ghadar. Das, the clever revolutionary commandant from afar masquerading as a bright-eyed academic, had by the fall of 1918 established out of Oakland one of the world's most sophisticated gun-running networks, aided by O'Doyle and other guards, with money from India, China and elsewhere flowing in and guns flowing out, generally aimed for the Budge Budge docks of Calcutta. What could not get into India directly went through the well-established web of Chinese pirates and smugglers operating across the East Asian coast, with Chusan - a key US Navy port with famously lax customs controls or inspections, even by the laissez-faire standards of the time - a popular site for weapons to come through with Navy sailors looking the other way and then getting move ashore to the Chinese mainland just a few kilometers away by night.

This steady trickle from Oakland, California to the Far East was virtually unstoppable for British security services. Even the suspension of non-British flagged shipping at Budge Budge and, later, Madras and Bombay, seemed to have little effect. This was because Bai Sagwhan Singh, a Ghadar chieftain, could from his exile in Canton easily coordinate with Guomindang paramilitaries across southern China to coordinate the shipment of arms into China, provided they, too, got their cut, inextricably tying Indian revolutionary leaders with Chinese nationalism and ideology and forming, by way of financial and, frankly, criminal bonds, a formidable machine to move weapons over oceans, across mountains, and through jungles into India..."

- Bengal Tiger: Subhas Chandra Bose and India
 
A programming note: I'll try to get the 1918 midterms done tonight (at minimum the results) so Curtain Jerker can make it a long weekend that starts on a Thursday, and then we'll cover the full extent of autumn 1918 in Europe so that the CEW endgame becomes a bit clearer.
 
You always have the best meme reactions ready for TTl, love it
Thanks!

I'm turning over a new leaf - went back and reread a lot of this TL and man alive was I on one in some of the earlier posts :/

So I figured save the invective for when it matters and otherwise post memes and dumb stuff like that most of the time.
 
But the Brenner here is a huge, huge strategic asset in a way it was not IOTL's WW1 for the reasons you describe, and only the open question of Italian reliability has influenced its oversight in Fall Ost.
I dunno, that might be for the best.

The only way you take Brenner without either destroying Austria as a state or getting 200,000 of your own men killed is by coup de main, basically on the first day of the war. You’d basically need to have several regiments secretly mobilized in advance, sitting in each of Verona and Munich waiting to be entrained and run across the border at speed to seize strongpoints at Innsbruck, Bolzano, and Trento, then hold them while the trains sprint back for more.

Which is arguably just barely doable but won’t actually work in the real world.
 
Patton was escorted to the train depot in north Charlotte by an honor guard of Confederate soldiers and Martin himself, and with two bodyguards hired on his dime in tow he departed on the 12:17 to Richmond, where he would briefly stay at his old townhome for a few weeks before an attempted break-in persuaded him that some embittered veteran was trying to assassinate him, and on October 20th he left his affairs in the hands of a solicitor friend and boarded a ship to England. His considerable assets in Dixie were over the next several years liquidated, for he never once returned across the Atlantic; he established himself at a small home he purchased in the countryside of Essex, near Colchester, where he would write a brief and succinct memoir before he died in the winter of 1925, aged 69, in relative obscurity. With his wife and son both already dead, and his daughter estranged due to his self-imposed exile, there was nobody to speak for him or attempt to bring him home; Patton remains buried in a small Anglican cemetery in Colchester to this day, the only Confederate or American President interred outside of North America.

- A Freedom Bought With Blood: Emancipation and the Postwar Confederacy
I guess America is too risky with Confederate refugees flooding in. I'm suprised there is not an effort by the Confederate government in the decades after or in the present day to retrive his casket and bury him in a "Confederate National Cenmetery" or something.
 
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United States elections, 1918
United States elections, 1918

United States Senate elections, 1918

The 1918 midterm elections were, for the Liberal Party, an unusually fierce disaster, a generational wipeout rivalling the 1902 debacle - which occurred before the popular election of Senators - perhaps best represented by the "Massachusetts Massacre," or "Massachusetts Miracle" as Democrats preferred to call it, as both seats of Liberal bedrock Massachusetts were won not just by Democrats, but two of the most prominent Irish Catholic politicians of that state, in former one-year Governor David Walsh (Massachusetts still elected Governors for one-year terms) and Boston Mayor John F. "Honey Fitz" Fitzgerald. That this would occur in one of the party's two firmest Senatorial strongholds, with one of the two seats opened up early due to Henry Cabot Lodge - the very symbol of Brahmin WASPiness - leaving the Senate to serve as Secretary of State, typified the disaster. The wealthy patriarch of the du Pont family was narrowly beaten in Delaware, a state trending Liberal for well over a decade; Medill McCormick, heir to a Chicago newspaper empire and a progressive reformer, was knocked out by Barratt O'Hara. Former Senator and one-term governor Woodbridge Nathan Ferris returned to claim Michigan's other Senate seat, and the flamboyant populist Governor of Oregon, Oswald West, took his colorful style to Philadelphia after defeating Jonathan Bourne.

A number of old hands passed on or retired in 1918 as well, meaning that the first true postwar elections represented a real, genuine generational shift in the composition of the upper house; perhaps O'Hara, a veteran of both the Boxer and Great American Wars who had been wounded in both, represented the coming sea change in Congress over the next decade the best. In all, eight seats fell from Liberal to Democrat and none the other way; it was a rout, and sent a clear message to the Root administration exactly what the public even in "safe" states in New England thought of their management of the Republic.

CO: John Shafroth (D) Re-Elected
DK: Fountain L. Thompson (D) Re-Elected
DE: Henry Algernon du Pont (L) DEFEATED; Albert F. Polk (Democrat) Elected (D+1)
ID: Fred Dubois (D) Re-Elected
IL: Medill McCormick (L) DEFEATED; Barratt O'Hara (Democrat) ELECTED (D+2)
IN (special): Harry New (L) DEFEATED; Samuel Ralston (Democrat) Elected (D+3)
IA: William Darius Jamieson (D) Re-Elected
KS: Dudley Doolittle (Democrat) Re-Elected
ME: Frank Guernsey (L) Re-Elected
MA: John W. Weeks (L) DEFEATED; David I. Walsh (Democrat) Elected (D+4)
MA (special): Fred Gillett (L) DEFEATED; John Fitzgerald (Democrat) Elected (D+5)
MI: William Alden Smith (L) Retired; Woodbridge Ferris (D) ELECTED (D+6) [2]
MN: Knute Nelson (D) Re-Elected
MT: Thomas Walsh (D) Re-Elected
NV (special): Francis Newlands (D) Died in Office; Charles Henderson (Democrat) Appointed and Elected (Democrat Hold)
NE: Gilbert Hitchcock (D) Re-Elected
NH: William E. Chandler (L) Died in Office; Rolland Spaulding (L) Appointed and RETIRED; Henry W. Keyes (Liberal) ELECTED (Liberal Hold) [1]
NJ: Mahlon Pitney (L) DEFEATED; Edward I. Edwards (Democrat) Elected (D+7)
NM: Octaviano A. Larrazola (D) Re-elected
OR: Jonathan Bourne (L) DEFEATED; Oswald West (Democrat) Elected (D+8)
RI: George Wetmore (L) Retired; LeBaron Colt (Liberal) ELECTED (Liberal Hold) [1]
WA: George Turner (D) Re-Elected
WV: John J. Davis (D) Re-Elected
WY: Frank Houx (D) Re-Elected

United States House elections, 1918

The House elections of 1918 were an unmitigated disaster for the Liberals as well, while falling a bit short of the shock of 1902 (in which Democrats benefitted from the expansion of the House in a census cycle. Liberals lost, in total, 62 seats, the majority to Democrats, while their chief opposition gained 52, picking up fifty-nine Liberal seats but losing seven in turn to Socialists in the Mine Belt where most Liberal candidates struggled to break out of single digits. It delivered for the Democrats their best result, at 248 seats, in a decade, and one of the best returns for Socialists in history, all while badly ravaging the Liberal caucus; several prominent committee chairmen were defeated, including Harold Knutson, Horace Mann Towner, and Caleb Layton, and even James Mann, the Speaker of the House, saw his reelection margin slip to just over a thousand votes in his traditionally Liberal, wealthy South Chicago 1st District. It was a full-throated rejection across the country, which saw Liberals denied any House seats in every state west of the Mississippi save California and Minnesota, and saw Democrats prevail in urban Massachusetts in a way they never had before.

United States State elections, 1918

The 1918 elections saw Democrats largely hold and expand upon their gains of 1914 and 1916, building up larger majorities in state legislatures and flipping the California Governorship, after Congressman Marion de Vries, deducing that he would never be Speaker, returned home to win by a decisive margin. Other Democratic incumbents, like Ohio's James M. Cox, were reelected, and Democrats did not lose a single Governorship to the Liberals anywhere in the country in 1918 as they ran wild up and down the ballot in a triumphant night, even flipping Massachusetts and defeating Lieutenant Governor Calvin Coolidge with John Jackson Walsh, an otherwise obscure member of the Boston planning board and an ally of former Mayor John F. Fitzgerald, thus completing the so-called "Massachusetts Miracle."

66th United States Congress

Senate: 39D-25L/FL

President of the Senate: James Garfield (L-OH)
Senate President pro tempore: George Turner (D-WA)
Chairman of Senate Democratic Conference: John E. Osborne (D-WY)
Chairman of Senate Liberal Conference: Boies Penrose (L-PA)

California
1. Hiram Johnson (L) (1917)
3. James D. Phelan (D) (1903)

Colorado
2. John Shafroth (D) (1913)
3. John Andrew Martin (D) (1915)

Connecticut
1. George P. McLean (L) (1911)
3. Henry Roberts (L) (1911)

Dakota
2. Fountain Thompson (D) (1901)
3. John Burke (D) (1915)

Delaware
1. J. Edward Addicks (L) (1905)
2. Albert F. Polk (D) (1919)

Idaho
2. Fred Dubois (D) (1907)
3. Moses Alexander (D) (1905)

Illinois
2. Barratt O'Hara (D) (1919)
3. Richard Yates Jr. (L) (1909)

Indiana
1. James E. Waston (L) (1917)
3. Samuel Ralston (D) (1918)

Iowa
2. William D. Jamieson (D) (1913)
3. Claude R. Porter (D) (1909)

Kansas
2. Dudley Doolittle (D) (1913)
3. George H. Hodges (D) (1909)

Maine
1. Frederick Hale (L) (1911)
2. Frank Guernsey (L) (1911)

Maryland
1. John W. Smith (D) (1908)
3. Blair Lee (D) (1913)

Massachusetts
1. John Fitzgerald (D) (1918)
2. David I. Walsh (D) (1919)

Michigan
1. Charles E. Townsend (L) (1911)
2. Woodbridge Ferris (D) (1919) [2]

Minnesota
1. John Lind (D) (1911)
2. Knute Nelson (D) (1901)

Missouri
1. James A. Reed (D) (1905)
3. James T. Lloyd (D) (1903)

Montana
2. Thomas Walsh (D) (1913)
3. Henry L. Myers (D) (1915)

Nebraska
1. Richard Lee Metcalfe (D) (1905)
2. Gilbert Hitchcock (D) (1913)

Nevada
1. Denver Sylvester Dickerson (D) (1911)
3. Charles Henderson (D) (1917)

New Hampshire
2. Henry Keyes (L) (1919)
3. Winston Churchill (L) (1909)

New Jersey
1. Joseph Sherman Frelinghuysen (L) (1911)
2. Edward Edwards (D) (1919)

New Mexico
1. Henry Ashurst (D) (1917)
2. Octaviano Larrazola (D) (1901)

New York
1. Bainbridge Colby (L) (1911)
3. James Wolcott Wadsworth Jr. (L) (1915)

Ohio
1. Frank Monnett (L) (1911)
3. Newton Baker (D) (1909)

Oregon
2. Oswald West (D) (1919)
3. Walter Lafferty (FL) (1915)

Pennsylvania
1. Philander Knox (L) (1905)
3. Boies Penrose (L) (1897)

Rhode Island
1. William Sprague V (L) (1915)
2. LeBaron Colt (L) (1919)

Vermont
1. Carroll S. Page (L) (1908)
3. George H. Prouty (L) (1909)

Washington

2. George Turner (D) (1889)
3. Ole Hanson (FL) (1915)

West Virginia
1. Thomas S. Riley (D) (1905)
2. John W. Davis (D) (1916)

Wisconsin
1. Francis McGovern (L) (1911)
3. Robert La Follette (L) (1903)

Wyoming
1. John Eugene Osborne (D) (1905)
2. Frank Houx (D) (1913)

House: 248D-171L-16S (+52D)

Speaker of the House: Champ Clark (D-MO)
House Majority Leader: John J. Fitzgerald (D-NY)
House Majority Whip: Thomas Gallagher (D-IL)
House Democratic Caucus Chair: Edward T. Taylor (D-CO)

House Minority Leader: Thomas S. Butler (L-PA)
House Minority Whip: Charles Mann Hamilton (L-NY)
House Liberal Caucus Chair: John Q. Tilson (L-CT)

Socialist House Leader: Victor Berger (S-WI)
Socialist House Whip: Ed Boyce (S-ID)

[1] Some of the last "Clique" Liberals from the 1890s die or retire here, further wiping out that region's longstanding seniority and shifting Senate power further from a seniority standpoint to well-tenured Western Democrats, and leaving George Turner and Boies Penrose as the last Senators first appointed or elected in the 19th century
[2] A former Senator for the Class I seat, meaning that he got to serve in both Michigan Senate seats and be Governor ITTL.
 
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