And thanks for confirming my other suspicion about what awaits Aururia once the natives stop being the masters of the situation under European pressure. Hopefully, they'll buckle and eventually survive and rebuild their past glory to at least some extent.
Well, nowhere have I said that the natives will completely stop being masters of the situation... just that they will be under immense pressure.
Some societies certainly won't survive. (Presumably, at least two of those are obvious). Others may, because of reasons having to do with geography, acquisition of technology, and so forth which give them a better chance. Note: chance, not definitive.
I am interested in seeing the beginning of the Aururian Agricultural Revolution in the Mediterranean. A Southern Europe that undergoes a population boom will make things very interesting, I think.
More populous southern Europe is certainly an unusual contrast from OTL. It could still go in a number of ways, and I haven't worked out all of them myself yet, but at a minimum it will mean that the balance of power between northern and southern Europe doesn't shift as much as it did in OTL.
IIRC dosen't Denmark reap similar benefits from the introduction of one of the Australian tubers?
Yes, Denmark is also having an agricultural revolution caused both by Aururian crops and also the spread of Aururian farming techniques.
One of the tubers (murnong) happens to be rather well-suited to some otherwise poor and rather agriculturally useless parts of Denmark. Another factor is that the Aururian knowledge of crop rotation (which is very good) inspires the earlier Danish adoption of red clover, which also improves agricultural yields.
The net effect is a rather more populous and wealthy Denmark. Denmark's population in OTL in 1700 was estimated 745,000. ATL Denmark (in the part within its OTL borders) will probably be higher than that, even allowing for the effects of the Aururian plagues.
What would be the effects of that? A more powerful Catholic church
More Catholics, certainly. Along with more Ottoman subjects. Higher population in general, and in particular higher urban/non-agricutural populations.
Possibly, but not necessarily. I was thinking more of Southern Europe industrializing faster and on a much larger scale than OTL.
Depends on the path which industrialisation follows. The natural resources of southern Europe aren't well-suited to early industrialisation. There isn't that much iron ore or coal, and what there is wouldn't be easily accessible with the technology of the time.
Of course, if this timeline follows a different path to industrialisation, that may be another story.
And, for that matter, a more densely populated North Africa which could also industrialize or, alternatively, create a large diaspora in the Americas.
North Africa will definitely have a higher population, too.
How much higher is harder to judge, since it depends on how badly the soils were actually exhausted (not sure) and on the social aspects of the time, but certainly there could be more people around. Whether that will mean a mostly Muslim population emigrating to a still largely Christian Americas is harder to say.
Good stuff Jared! So, what I see here is James II of England is TTL's version of Louis XIV of France and that there will still be a English Civil War but no Glorious Revolution, instead a continuation of Absolutism in the style of Charles I. It's going to be interesting when more details appear concerning this alternate English Civil War.
James II isn't quite the Sun King, but he's
the premier absolute monarch as far as the English-speaking world is concerned.
The Spanish-speaking world may have other ideas. Philip II springs to mind, or perhaps even a later Spanish monarch if the Aururian plagues can persuade the Habsburgs to stop inbreeding before the point where the last remaining monarch consists mostly of toenails.
In terms of the English Civil War, some more details will follow in due course. I have to admit, though, that the main focus of LoRaG will continue to be on Aururia, with the rest of the world being covered more in snapshots. In any case, there's already another timeline which covers an alternative English Civil War in more detail than I could hope to manage.
The question is... what's happening without France if the Sun King isn't the paragon of absolute monarchy? I mean, it looks like some form of absolute monarchy will happen there, but will it be as extreme? Will we see a switch, with a more liberal France and a more conservative England?
France is still an absolute monarchy, although the process it follows to get there is rather different with no direct involvement in the *30 Years' War or Fronde. There just isn't the same single long-lived, strong-willed monarch who epitomises French absolutism.
It also seems to me that you are giving Sicily a sort of Dutch experience, by making Piazzi (already an aristocrat or no?) your William the Silent and introducing limited monarchy there because of its rebellion against the Spanish crown.
I didn't exactly have a Dutch analogue in mind. More the Sicilian Vespers of a few centuries before, who also tried to form free communes at the time. In the Advent Revolution, with a native monarch rather than a papal-backed foreign monarch (as was crowned post-Sicilian Vespers), the only real authority which Piazzi can draw on is "restoring ancient privileges" and communes, which soon morphs into a version of popular sovereignty.
Piazzi isn't an aristocrat, just a man with excellent political nous and personal charisma.
As such, it seems like ITTL modern Western democracy could have its roots in Sicily rather than England!
Well, the idea of democracy was hardly unique to England even in OTL. Italy wasn't short of republics, nor were the Dutch, to pick but two.
Still, I wonder how many Sicilian words will show up in ATL political science...
Imagine that... I wonder what this would mean. Perhaps more of a democratic influence among the Catholic countries? Also, if Sicily is gaining its independence sooner ITTL, will it make a move on southern Italy like it did IOTL, but sooner, and as such begin the Italian unification sooner as well?
For a couple of generations, at least, the same foreign political backing which allowed Sicily to gain independence also means that it is not free to go adventuring in southern Italy. That will constraint it (and also lead to effective internal administration in turning Sicily into a well-functioning nation). After that, well, who knows?
Much depends on when exactly the English Civil War happens ITTL (my guess is the 1650s to 1660s timeframe, as it was mentioned that it was fought during Charles II's reign, not under the regency, so it probably started after he reached majority in 1651) and what kind of political regime precedes it. We know that Cavendish was the regent during Charles II's minority, but we have not seen yet what his internal, and especially ecclesiastical, policy was.
Cavendish is a firm supporter of the High Church, although perhaps not as obnoxious about it as Charles I. This rubs off on Charles II, who
is more obnoxious about it, which is one reason for the *English Civil War. I don't have exact dates for the ECW, but yes, sometime between 1651 and 1670.
Did he support High Churchmen as strongly as Charles I did in OTL? Did he provoke conflict with the Scots as OTL Charles I did in the late 1630s?
"Not quite" to the first (though still pro-High Church). No to the second. Cavendish basically views Scotland as a backwater not worth the trouble of provoking; he's rather more concerned with the wars with the Dutch to provoke unnecessary trouble at home.
Then again, if he was as oppressive as Charles I was (at least in England) but the English Civil War came later (say, because the regent was more moderate in Scotland and did not provoke the stand-off of 1639-1640 that doomed Charles I), the war would come after a far longer period of quasi-dictatorship, causing far larger emigration over that longer period to the Netherlands/New England (assuming Cavendish's power was weaker on the other shore)/somewhere else.
The question of English (esp. Puritan) emigration ITTL is a complex one. The Aururian plagues short-circuit much emigration for a decade or so between 1627 and 1637; there are
some migrants, but only a handful compared to OTL. Some colonies are founded later, and others abandoned for a while. The equivalents of Boston, Connecticut, etc are not founded until several years later, while the earliest colony in OTL New Hampshire was started during the 1620s but abandoned after the plagues.
By the 1640s, there is some Puritan emigration to New England, but not so much migration for other reasons. (Not as many merchant venturers, and not much in the way of royalists fleeing for the colonies.) The spread of
kunduri trade cuts into the attractiveness of Jamestown, which slows some of the later migration to Virginia (which last into the 1650s/1660s or so OTL). The Puritan emigration declines after a while, too, but for a time it is the biggest source of emigrants.
Some of the Puritans do end up in the Netherlands (old and new), but probably more of them end up in the English North American possessions.
Those the Rex Regina of Denmark mean that we do not see a Norwegian law and the Danish Law (1687 & 83) as in otl? The Rex Regina was also kept secret until after the succession in 1670 in otl, and not printed until 1709. This would be a very different situation from otl.
I'm not familiar with the Norwegian Law or the 1877 & 83 laws. The King's Law ITTL is indeed openly described earlier than in OTL, because the monarchy already has greater prestige and power because of its expanded possessions (Rugen etc) where it is
already absolutist.
Excellent as always, though I find I have a subtle preference for this one somehow. Couldn't speak as to why.
A certain prominence, perhaps?
A fair number of portions of Europe were conspicuous by their absence. Intriguing.
No deep and meaningful reason other than that this article was meant to be the ATL version of the OTL wikipedia article on absolute monarchy, but with deletion of references to
modern absolute monarchy.
The real Wikipedia article touches on France, Denmark-Norway, Sweden, Prussia and Russia. The ATL article substitues absolutist England for France, and *Saxony for Prussia (with some modifications, since *Saxony is
not simply Prussia Under Another Name), and throws in a Sicilian section and the usual Portuguese running joke.
So there's no particular need to read anything into the fate of other European nations which weren't covered in this article (e.g. Spain). Most of them do become absolutist if they weren't already, of course, but that's mentioned in the ATL article.