28th October 1941
Shortly after 1am, Warrant Officer Jozef Gabčík and Staff Sergeant Karel Svoboda are parachuted into Czechoslovakia by a French NC-2233 bomber, landing around 35km West of Prague after their aircraft experienced some navigational difficulties.
My primary question is whether a similar Gestapo report as was done after Anthropoid would focus on Ledice or not...I take it operation Anthropoid is a go TTL. Also its interesting to see how butterflies have effected the operation with Svoboda not receiving his head injury.
Maybe, although the Nazis so far have only really been punishing surrender or attempts to overthrow the party. Things have just ratcheted up a notch.Kienitz had to know he was a dead man walking when he ordered that withdrawal. The four days before his arrest must have been hell for him.
I picked Osnabruck as it's the closest I could be reasonably sure of getting a train to when you're coming across from Poland and eastern Germany. There will be some supplies getting past that, but priority will be given to heavy stuff like food and fuel - men can walk.Troops marched from Osnabrück to the Ruhr?
That is one hell of a march just to be thrown into a hopeless position with no real frontline, and sounds like it couldn't have happened to nicer guys (also it seems like a bit of an Allied mistake or just slowness; the Dortmund-Ems canal should be sufficiently close to lock down Osnabrück with supplies running down that canal from the Ems; but clearing it may just be not-done-yet).
Professionalism dies very hard in a lifelong soldier.Sure, that would work but I have a hard time seeing a life-long professional officer intentionally "losing" and getting their men captured (even if it might be a better course of action in the long run). A lot of people in his position care more about their legacy and reputation than about their lives. Your way, he's remembered as either incompetent or (after the war and the truth gets out) a coward. The way he did it, he's remembered as a brave, honorable commander that did his duty and valued his men's lives above his own.
Pretty modest, so the capacity is certainly there. The main issue is keeping the waterways clear, infrastructure to unload them, etc. plus the fact that the British troops have been doing a lot of fighting in cr*p weather and frankly need a break. Brooke has no intention of pushing further until the spring unless external events compel him to. The Ruhr is a big prize and he's across the Rhine, but there isn't a lot else of major significance until he reaches the Elbe or arguably Berlin. The French might push a bit further to take the Saar (leaving the Germans with very little coal and a cold winter coming), but that's all they've got planned before the spring. The Entente are very casualty-averse and in no tearing hurry to win the war, now that the result is clear to everyone.14 October 1941 "The availability of Rhine barges in the Netherlands means that much of the supply of fuel and ammunition will be water-borne. This will be a separate operation (Zeeleeuw) under the command of the Royal Netherlands Navy. Over 1,000 barges have been assembled for this operation, many of them being fitted with engines for the first time ever."
What were the losses like for the barge force in Zeeleeuw ?
If they are in good condition, and can build some sort of depot at Duisburg, then it should be possible to keep Alexander's men going forward.
There will be a number of specialist infrastructure units in the Royal Engineers doing the infrastructure work (I actually used to be in one for a while), composed of people who are e.g. railwaymen in their civilian jobs.Considering the ground has been fought over, how long will it take for the Entante to rebuild the infrastructure needed for a next offensive? Also, does Entante have dedicated units to do the rebuilding, or are they going to be using their regular units engineer detachments, as well as regular infantry and POW for some simpler tasks, such as filling in shell holes and other manual labour?
Yep.I take it operation Anthropoid is a go TTL. Also its interesting to see how butterflies have effected the operation with Svoboda not receiving his head injury.
Unlikely - the butterflies will scramble all that up, I suspect, given how large the Czech forces still fighting will be compared to OTL.My primary question is whether a similar Gestapo report as was done after Anthropoid would focus on Ledice or not...
Hmm, now that you mention the loss of the Saar being impending too... I wonder if this whole winter pause might be brilliant, by allowing the German troops to properly process how badly they are losing, or if the Nazis might be able to spin it as the Allies being unable to do more?
And in the latter case, if they might start some Wacht am Rhein-esque attack through the snows?
Unlikely - the butterflies will scramble all that up, I suspect, given how large the Czech forces still fighting will be compared to OTL.
Why more Czech forces?
Why more Czech forces?
Presumably its because otl the German army had a year after the fall of France to stomp out any resistance, whilst ITTL the army has been too busy fighting the Entente.
Why more Czech forces?
Big difference is geography - ITTL they have a neutral border (Hungary) and from there can just get a train to join their forces in France. In OTL they would probably have had to go to Turkey. Throw in the Germans doing much worse which makes patriotism a much easier option, and I would expect to see far more Czechs fighting in exile.Presumably its because otl the German army had a year after the fall of France to stomp out any resistance, whilst ITTL the army has been too busy fighting the Entente.
Huh? German Austria borders Slovakia, there is no border between the Czech half of Czechoslovakia and Hungary, they would have to go through Tiso's Slovakia to get to either Hungary or Romania. The other option is to go into the Reich Proper to try to cross into Hungary, Yugoslavia, Italy or Switzerland. I agree that it will be much easier than OTL, but not *that* easy.Big difference is geography - ITTL they have a neutral border (Hungary) and from there can just get a train to join their forces in France. In OTL they would probably have had to go to Turkey. Throw in the Germans doing much worse which makes patriotism a much easier option, and I would expect to see far more Czechs fighting in exile.
What I haven't seen recently is how close the Entente is to pinching off the Ruhr... Seems like the French efforts are a general push which might lead to escaping units rather than specifically pinching off the southeast end.
Here is the updated campaign map. The Ruhr is more isolated than it appears on the map because the main rail lines run east fro Dortmund through Hamm and Unna, both of which are, or soon to be, occupied by the British First Army. There is a rail line that runs south from Essen to Dusseldorf, but I expect that is being heavily bombed by the RAF and the Armée de l'Air.
I think Tiso will be behaving very differently from OTL. The OTL Salzburg meeting which led to a National Socialist regime in Slovakia will take place in a very different environment - the Germans are trapped in Paris and looking like they're not going to get out, and the US is making friendly noises towards the Entente. Things will rapidly deteriorate until Easter 1941 when the Catholic Church comes out openly against the Nazis - even in OTL this was enough to significantly moderate Tiso's behaviour. In the circumstances by late 1941 I'd be very surprised indeed if he was making any serious attempt to stop Czechs (and indeed Slovaks) crossing the Hungarian frontier - and will no doubt be having under-the-table discussions with the Government in Exile about the postwar world.Huh? German Austria borders Slovakia, there is no border between the Czech half of Czechoslovakia and Hungary, they would have to go through Tiso's Slovakia to get to either Hungary or Romania. The other option is to go into the Reich Proper to try to cross into Hungary, Yugoslavia, Italy or Switzerland. I agree that it will be much easier than OTL, but not *that* easy.
In some ways Tiso is the leader whose fate will be most in question in the Postwar order. Norway and Denmark will likely go back to governments that will be natural successors to the governments of 1939, the Polish Government in exile will *probably* be installed in the currently German controlled part of Poland, (Unless Stalin jumps), but putting Czechoslovakia back together, I'm not completely sure of. (Leopold III of Belgium of course gives Tiso a run for his money)
Leopold is basically out, sure, but the Belgian state and government will go on much as before, just with a new monarch. I imagine many other countries will be shuffling out individuals who were a bit too willing to do something stupid (and in some cases treasonous) towards Germany, he'll just be the highest-ranked victim, while the Belgian government just continues on from pre-war.Leopold III of Belgium of course gives Tiso a run for his money
The question is faster or slower than iOTL. I think his stupidity is smaller than OTL, since he surrendered less.Leopold is basically out, sure, but the Belgian state and government will go on much as before, just with a new monarch. I imagine many other countries will be shuffling out individuals who were a bit too willing to do something stupid (and in some cases treasonous) towards Germany, he'll just be the highest-ranked victim, while the Belgian government just continues on from pre-war.