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  1. Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    Or the can dog-leg south through New Zealand, at much less additional cost.

  2. Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    Hm, has the Channel Dash happened here?

  3. Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    A simple press release won't do much. It will take a much bigger operation to convince the Germans.

  4. Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    How much firepower does Weygand have in FNA? How much is currently in Sardinia?

  5. Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    Sicily can't be taken without French North Africa, and Weygand is reluctant to all that without Germans first going ahead with Fall Blau. My idea with Sardinia was that it might provoke the Germans into going through with Fall Blau, thus giving Weygand reason to go to the Allies without a fight.

  6. Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    Everyone knows Sicily is a potential target, and, so is garrisoned, Sardinia I'm not so sure about. The issue is, Sicily can't be taken until you have French North Africa. My idea was that taking Sardinia would goad the Germans into Case Blue, and thus, give Weygand all the cause he needs to...

  7. Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    What forces do the Axis have in Sardinia?

  8. Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    What air assets are currently in Sardinia? The closest point between Libya and Sicily is ~275 miles. Bombers can do it, sure, but fighters? Those would have to come from airfields closer, which means Malta and Pantelleria, or Tunisia. Except French North Africa isn't yet a place they can launch...

  9. Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    Pantelleria is ~85 km^2, only slightly larger than Gozo (~67 km^2), and substantially smaller than the island of Malta (~246 km^2), so there's no way it's going to be able to sustain high-tempo operations for long, or in any real numbers. I was thinking an out-of-the-blue attack, like Torch...

  10. Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    Except in my idea it would be the prelude to Sicily. An island in the middle of nowhere with no strategic value, except that it's not in the middle of nowhere, because it's not far to the south of Corsica, which is part of Metropolitan France, and thus, such a move might prompt the Germans to...

  11. Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    So Narvik will be a blood-bath. That points to Sicily, if they can woo Weygand over, or Greece if they can't. Of course, the latter would depend rather a lot on who owns what in the Aegean. Of course, for a dark-horse suggestion, going for Sardinia might be enough to panic the Germans into...

  12. Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    How heavily guarded is Narvik at this time?

  13. Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    You don't think the fact that Sweden was 95% surrounded by Axis occupied territory had anything to do with it?

  14. Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    Huh, okay. So hitting Narvik might do some good after all? Of course, I doubt they could do enough damage to put the port out of action for long, and the losses at this stage would probably quickly become extortionate.

  15. Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    Narvik was on no interest to the Germans once they took it, so wrecking it would do precisely nothing.

  16. Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    The British gave Narvik up when the rest of Norway fell, because it was indefensible in the long-term. I do wonder, who owns what Aegean islands? If the British make a grab for any that are axis-owned, it could force the Germans to tie down troops defending them.

  17. Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    Sicily and Greece are also bridgeheads too far without support. Sicily requires French North Africa, while Greece requires a lot of infrastructure work on Crete, and maybe some island-hopping in the Aegean. For Crete, possible a proto-Mulberry Harbour could be put together? there's virtually no...

  18. Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    PQ18 had to deal with 92 torpedo boats and 120 bombers, with just 12 fighters to oppose the latter. Unescorted bombers at that.

  19. Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    Minimal air-support, rough terrain, and some very long supply lines? Sounds like a disaster in the making.

  20. Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    That is indeed the big question. If they can, that will mean having to import even more oil from the USA, which will reduce their importing of other stuff.
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