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  1. Derek Pullem

    Sweden doesn't enter the Thirty Years' War, so what do the Habsburgs and their allies do?

    Brandenburg was "neutral" in 1630 (actually it was more like "please leave me alone"). Brandenburg had been neutral earlier but Wallenstein and the Imperials overran it anyway and compelled Brandenburg to align with the Emperor. The Swedes then appeared and to avoid being ransacked again the...
  2. Derek Pullem

    Sweden doesn't enter the Thirty Years' War, so what do the Habsburgs and their allies do?

    They don't enter the Thirty Years War as IOTL pre-1630. Doesn't mean the threat of them entering doesn't exist. Brandenburg is neutral at this time as well. If the Swedes don't intervene it may suit the Imperials t leave the North German fringe alone. If the PoD is that Sweden will never...
  3. Derek Pullem

    Sweden doesn't enter the Thirty Years' War, so what do the Habsburgs and their allies do?

    Swedish threat is still alive - the incentives for the Empire to peace out before intervention are still there. Don't see much changing in 1629 i.e. before OTL Swedish intervention. Denmark is part of the Northern German fringe that survive due to Swedish threat being present. Only if Sweden...
  4. Derek Pullem

    Sweden doesn't enter the Thirty Years' War, so what do the Habsburgs and their allies do?

    Well the Protestant parliament is going to be terrified of the prospect of a Catholic victory in Germany so while I agree that Charles will feel emboldened the counter reaction from Parliament is likely to discourage him. Politically he will likely see an accommodation with France against...
  5. Derek Pullem

    Sweden doesn't enter the Thirty Years' War, so what do the Habsburgs and their allies do?

    Well if the consequence of a (more) Catholic Germany is a (more) Protestant England then there will be less of a drive for the Puritans to leave England. Instead you may see many more Germans emigrating to America, both because there are more of them left alive and there is less religious...
  6. Derek Pullem

    Sweden doesn't enter the Thirty Years' War, so what do the Habsburgs and their allies do?

    Sweden and Poland almost certainly go around for one more war in 1635 when the truce runs out. Likely Sweden cements control of the Baltic coast. Brandenburg may only survive as the main protestant hold out via an alliance with the Swedes. Most of the rest of Germany is more or less...
  7. Derek Pullem

    USSR gets absolute victory in the Winter War, effects on WW2.

    Please address the points I made rather than points you would have like me to make. I suggested that the Soviets would be regarded as equally bad to the Nazis in April 1940. Clearly after France, the BoB, North Africa and the Balkans, Germany is going to enemy #1. I said myself that...
  8. Derek Pullem

    What if Disney had bought Classic Media instead of Dreamworks Animation?

    Classic Media is a rounding error in the Fox / Time Warner deals so it wouldn't have made any difference. Disney already had the marketing for Dreamworks so can't see the drive to acquire Classic Media if Dreamworks were going to. Given the conspicuous lack of success that Classic Media IP...
  9. Derek Pullem

    USSR gets absolute victory in the Winter War, effects on WW2.

    If the Finnish collapse is relatively early (e.g. Soviets fully exploit their armoured breakthrough at Summa and the Mannerheim Line is turned) then the likely outcome is a puppet Red Finland via the Finnish Democratic Republic. How stable this might be is anyone's guess. Of course then In...
  10. Derek Pullem

    What if the Polish occupation zone in West Germany remained and was established as an independent polish republic in the heartland of Germany?

    I think the area on the map is unfeasible but the idea of a Polish safe haven is not so unlikely. something like the "Free city of Krakow" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Free_City_of_Cracow but in this case guaranteed by Britain, France and the USA. Maybe based around Osnabruck. It would be...
  11. Derek Pullem

    Would Asia/the world of the twentieth century have been better off if Japan lost the Russo-Japan War, was stalemated, or deterred from attacking?

    It's very difficult to say as the three options (lost, stalemate and didn't happen) offer very different outcomes. If stalemate and "didn't happen" mean that Japan retains its position in Korea, even without any position in Manchuria then I think little changes. The victory offered Japan so...
  12. Derek Pullem

    What if China, Thailand & Iran all joined the cental powers in ww1?

    Army of 20,000 split by the coup with no artillery is unlikely to pose a significant threat to Entente interests
  13. Derek Pullem

    Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    So PQ 17 gets +1 carrier in covering force and an escort carrier in the convoy itself as per PQ18. And the destroyers are first rate. EDIT - the Hampdens got sent earlier too PQ18 still lost 33% of its ships though A lot will depend on the German intentions -
  14. Derek Pullem

    What if China, Thailand & Iran all joined the cental powers in ww1?

    China - they could have declared for the Germans in OTL but it wouldn't change a thing. In OTL Germans provided some support for one faction of the warlords who attempted to restore the monarchy but they failed. If they succeeded then it would just mean more civil war in China. Iran - much of...
  15. Derek Pullem

    If the Triple Entente lost WWI, it is likely that Britain, not France, would have been the most revanchist of the three

    Nah, not buying it. Britain would be pissed but when they did lose they just picked up their toys and played somewhere else (ARW) or waited a generation ( 1st Boer War). I don't doubt that Britain would aggressively compete with Germany but thats not revanchism its just SOP. Russia is the...
  16. Derek Pullem

    Malaya What If

    You miss the point - Churchill gave Gort and Phillips carte blanche on the 5 December and they sailed at 0430 on the 6 December. The depthcharging of Regulus 18 hours later is merely confirmation that the decision taken the day before was correct. I would not be surprised if the British...
  17. Derek Pullem

    Malaya What If

    "Former naval person" could pick up the phone. May be somewhat cryptic given the lack of scrambler technology but I'm sure that the message could be conveyed that something urgent is coming through the channels right NOW.
  18. Derek Pullem

    Malaya What If

    That is if the information comes from all the way the front line to Pearl. What might be more pertinent is that Winston may inform FDR of the British intent to interdict suspected Japanese invasion convoys heading to Thailand and that by itself may be enough to put the USN in the Pacific at a...
  19. Derek Pullem

    Sir John Valentine Carden Survives. Part 2.

    cant check all the figures in this article but it sounds like he's done his homework. https://en.topwar.ru/174335-pravda-o-zahvachennoj-majkopskoj-nefti.html Germans managed to put about 1 per cent of Maikop production into service, less of refined products after the Russians had left...
  20. Derek Pullem

    How long can Decolonization be delayed?

    For the British, India is the key. Arguably WW2 delayed self government but without the trauma of WW2 and the perception that a strong India was a better geopolitical ally for UK, India may be more balkanised. Either way if India gains self rule in the early 1940's, even if it is similar to...
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